Odds
Player analysis
J. Graca comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 4. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -22.7, meaning J. Graca has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.0/10, leaving J. Graca vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Graca has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
C. Lopez Montagud shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 503. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.9 to 31.0, with at least one match where C. Lopez Montagud was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Lopez Montagud vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
Recent form
0W 4L last 5
| 23 Nov | Montagud | 1-6 1-6 | L |
| 11 May | Zeppieri | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 28 Apr | Pellegrino | 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 13 Apr | Cerundolo | 6-3 6-1 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 28 Nov | Moller | 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 27 Nov | Blancaneaux | 6-1 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 25 Nov | Pereira | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 24 Nov | Vatutin | 7-5 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 23 Nov | Graca | 1-6 1-6 | W |

