Odds
Player analysis
A. Gea has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.3 to 11.9, with at least one match where A. Gea was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Gea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Gea has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
J. Kumstat comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning J. Kumstat has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Kumstat vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 14 Mar | Cecchinato | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 13 Mar | Napolitano | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Bouchelaghem | 6-2 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Napolitano | 7-6 5-7 6-3 | L |
| 5 Mar | Hemery | 3-6 4-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 27 Nov | Geerts | 6-7 1-6 | L |
| 25 Nov | Kasnikowski | 7-5 4-6 6-1 | W |
| 24 Nov | Casanova | 6-0 6-1 | W |
| 11 Nov | Hanfmann | 1-6 3-6 | L |
| 30 Oct | Gea | 6-3 6-4 | L |

