Odds
Player analysis
C. Gauff shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 31. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
I. Swiatek has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 29.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 6 Mar | Rakhimova | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 20 Feb | Svitolina | 6-4 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 19 Feb | Eala | 6-0 6-2 | W |
| 18 Feb | Mertens | 2-6 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 17 Feb | Kalinskaya | 6-4 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Mar | Svitolina | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 11 Mar | Muchova | 2-6 0-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Sakkari | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Day | 0-6 6-7 | W |
| 12 Feb | Sakkari | 6-2 4-6 5-7 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA United Cup | Hard | Gauff | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Madrid | Clay | Semi-finals | Gauff | 6-1 6-1 | |
| United Cup | Hard | Gauff | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| WTA Finals - Riyadh | Indoor | Gauff | 3-6 4-6 | ||
| WTA French Open | Clay | Semi-finals | Swiatek | 6-2 6-4 | |
| WTA Rome | Clay | Semi-finals | Swiatek | 6-4 6-3 | |
| WTA Finals - Cancun | Indoor | Swiatek | 7-5 | ||
| WTA Beijing | Hard | Semi-finals | Swiatek | 2-6 3-6 | |
| WTA Cincinnati | Hard | Semi-finals | Gauff | 6-7 6-3 4-6 | |
| WTA French Open | Clay | Quarter-finals | Swiatek | 6-4 6-2 |

