Odds
Player analysis
J. Mackenzie comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Mackenzie has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
F. Forti comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.4 to 15.6, with at least one match where F. Forti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving F. Forti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Forti has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 10 Feb | Polmans | 5-7 6-2 1-6 | L |
| 9 Feb | Sinclair | 6-2 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 8 Feb | Ferguson | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 22 Oct | Dodig | 1-6 7-6 3-6 | L |
| 20 Oct | Forti | 6-2 6-3 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Feb | Knaff | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 22 Feb | Bondioli | 3-6 7-6 7-5 | W |
| 4 Feb | Gakhov | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 2 Feb | Basile | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 28 Oct | Bertola | 4-6 7-6 5-7 | L |

