Odds
Player analysis
A. Rublev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
A. Davidovich Fokina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -25.5 to 15.7, with at least one match where A. Davidovich Fokina was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Davidovich Fokina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Davidovich Fokina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 10 Mar | Tien | 4-6 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Fokina | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Fokina | 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Bellucci | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 24 Feb | Altmaier | 5-7 3-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Mar | Rublev | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 27 Feb | Rublev | 5-7 6-7 | W |
| 26 Feb | Rublev | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 25 Feb | Rublev | 6-4 6-7 6-3 | L |
| 24 Feb | Rublev | 6-3 6-4 | L |