US OpenHard1/32-finals27 Aug 2025 · 20:10
A. Rinderknech
#27 · France
VS
A. Davidovich Fokina
#17 · Spain
RINDERKNECH
5.24
·
FOKINA
1.19

Odds

Market
Rinderknech
Fokina
Winner
5.24
1.19
Total
line 32.5
1.57
Over 32.5
2.17
Under 32.5
Total
line 33.0
1.61
Over 33.0
2.13
Under 33.0
Handicap
games
2.71
-2.0 games
1.43
+2 games
Handicap
games
3.34
-2.5 games
1.3
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Rinderknech comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.5, meaning A. Rinderknech has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Rinderknech vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rinderknech has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -6.47Trend mixed

A. Davidovich Fokina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -25.5 to 15.7, with at least one match where A. Davidovich Fokina was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Davidovich Fokina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Davidovich Fokina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS 0.82Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWWL

2W 3L last 5

10 MarAlcaraz6-7 6-3 6-2L
26 FebRublev6-2 6-4L
25 FebDraper7-5 6-7 6-4W
24 FebMarozsan6-3 3-6 4-6W
17 FebAlcaraz6-4 7-6L
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarTien4-6 6-1 7-6L
8 MarMensik6-2 4-6 6-2W
7 MarSvajda7-6 6-2W
26 FebBellucci6-3 6-3L
24 FebAltmaier5-7 3-6W

Hard court stats

Rinderknech
Stat
Fokina
56.2%
Win rate
56.2%
150–117
W–L
154–120

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces11
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults1