Odds
Player analysis
B. Nakashima has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
A. Fils shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 33. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.9 to 12.8, with at least one match where A. Fils was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 30 May | Auger-Aliassime | 5-7 6-1 7-6 7-6 | L |
| 28 May | Assche | 7-6 4-6 7-5 1-6 3-6 | W |
| 25 May | Bautista-Agut | 2-6 5-7 2-6 | W |
| 11 May | Basilashvili | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 9 May | Bautista-Agut | 6-4 6-0 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

