Odds
Player analysis
A. Fery has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Fery vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
P. Martinez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.2, meaning P. Martinez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving P. Martinez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Martinez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 19 May | Ymer | 2-6 5-7 | W |
| 17 May | Choinski | 5-7 7-6 6-2 | L |
| 14 May | Alexandrescou | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 14 May | Stricker | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 11 May | Sachko | 7-5 6-3 | W |

