BeijingHard1/32-finals26 Sep 2025 · 05:10
L. Fernandez
#25 · Canada
VS
M. Sakkari
#33 · Greece
FERNANDEZ
1.69
·
SAKKARI
2.28

Odds

Market
Fernandez
Sakkari
Winner
1.69
2.28

Player analysis

L. Fernandez comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning L. Fernandez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Fernandez has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -5.76Trend down

M. Sakkari has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.0 to 17.1, with at least one match where M. Sakkari was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Sakkari vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 1.27Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLWWW

4W 1L last 5

10 MarSakkari3-6 2-6W
7 MarSakkari7-5 6-0L
13 FebSakkari6-3 4-6 1-6W
12 FebSwiatek6-2 4-6 5-7W
11 FebGracheva6-7 0-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWLL

2W 3L last 5

8 MarSiniakova5-7 6-4 7-6L
16 FebFernandez6-7 4-6W
15 FebSamsonova7-5 5-7 3-6W
8 FebLi6-4 6-3L
3 FebKessler6-3 6-2L

Hard court stats

Fernandez
Stat
Sakkari
62.4%
Win rate
56.5%
151–91
W–L
212–163

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults2

Head to head

23
Indoor 10
Hard 13
L. Fernandez vs M. Sakkari head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
TokyoIndoor1/16-finalsFernandez7-6 6-4
BeijingHard1/32-finalsFernandez6-2 6-0
WTA United CupHardSakkari7-6 6-3
WTA WashingtonHard1/8-finalsSakkari7-5 6-2
Melbourne (Grampians Trophy)Hard1/8-finalsSakkari6-2 6-2