V. Erjavec has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -31.8 to 22.9, with at least one match where V. Erjavec was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving V. Erjavec vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

L. Pigossi comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.3, meaning L. Pigossi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving L. Pigossi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Pigossi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.