TylerHard1/16-finals3 Jun 2026 · 18:30
A. Martin
ATP #284USA
VS
B. Ellis
ATP #495Australia
MARTIN
1.478
·
ELLIS
2.8

Odds

Market
Martin
Ellis
Change
Winner
1.478
2.8
Total
line 22.5
2.06
Over 22.5
1.794
Under 22.5
Total
line 22.0
1.909
Over 22.0
1.943
Under 22.0
Handicap
games
1.92
-3.5 games
1.76
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.746
-2.0 games
2.11
+2 games

Player analysis

A. Martin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.4 to 16.0, with at least one match where A. Martin was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Martin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Martin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS 1.68Trend mixed

B. Ellis comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.5, meaning B. Ellis has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving B. Ellis vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Ellis has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -4.48Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Martin
Stat
Ellis
52.5%
Win rate
55%
160–145
W–L
132–108

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %50%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces11
Double faults5

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
MartinEllis

No prior meetings

Hard 00first on hard
ATP #284Martin vs EllisATP #495

Hard H2H: 00 — first meeting on hard

Hard win rate (season): Martin 53% (160145) · Ellis 55% (132108)

Quick comparison

MartinStatEllis
53%Hard W%55%
60%1st serve % (L5)50%
70%1st serve won (L5)80%
20%BP conv (L5)20%
3Aces (L5 avg)11