M. McDonald has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.3 to 29.4, with at least one match where M. McDonald was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

M. Echargui comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.1 to 34.1, with at least one match where M. Echargui was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Echargui vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Echargui has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.