S. Kozlov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.4 to 19.3, with at least one match where S. Kozlov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Kozlov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Kozlov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

A. Dougaz comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning A. Dougaz has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Dougaz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.