RomeClay1/16-finals10 May 2026 · 18:05
T. Paul
#21 · USA
VS
L. Darderi
#17 · Italy
PAUL
1.714
·
DARDERI
2.25

Odds

Market
Paul
Darderi
Winner
1.714
2.25
Total
line 22.5
1.87
Over 22.5
1.92
Under 22.5
Total
line 21.5
1.63
Over 21.5
2.25
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
2.04
-2.5 games
1.76
+2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.94
-2.0 games
1.84
+2 games

Player analysis

T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 44. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.1 to 15.4, with at least one match where T. Paul was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

DS 4.63Trend mixed

L. Darderi has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning L. Darderi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Darderi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Darderi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS -4.25Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Paul
Stat
Darderi
64.8%
Win rate
64.7%
114–62
W–L
180–98

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces5
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

20
Hard 10
Grass 10
T. Paul vs L. Darderi head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MontrealHard1/32-finalsPaul6-4 7-6
Olympic GamesGrass1/32-finalsPaul3-6 4-6