MadridClay1/16-finals7 Apr 2026 · 10:40
N. Jarry
#156 · Chile
VS
M. Damas
#271 · Spain
JARRY
1.43
·
DAMAS
3.01

Odds

Market
Jarry
Damas
Winner
1.43
3.01
Total
line 20.5
1.56
Over 20.5
2.21
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.64
Over 21.0
2.1
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
3.34
-5.5 games
1.27
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.98
-5.0 games
1.33
+5 games

Player analysis

N. Jarry has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Jarry has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS 6.1Trend down

M. Damas has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 15.1, with at least one match where M. Damas was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Damas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.59Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Jarry
Stat
Damas
60.1%
Win rate
59.7%
212–141
W–L
151–102

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %80%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces9
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults5