Mexico CityClaySemi-finals5 Apr 2026 · 20:10
Q. Vandecasteele
#456 · USA
VS
I. Marrero Curbelo
#495 · Spain
VANDECASTEELE
2.04
·
CURBELO
1.8

Odds

Market
Vandecasteele
Curbelo
Winner
2.04
1.8
Total
line 21.5
1.935
Over 21.5
1.87
Under 21.5
Total
line 21.0
1.76
Over 21.0
1.93
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.74
+2.5 games
2.09
-2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.8
+2.0 games
2
-2 games

Player analysis

Q. Vandecasteele comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 21.7, with at least one match where Q. Vandecasteele was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving Q. Vandecasteele vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.62Trend mixed

I. Marrero Curbelo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.8 to 20.4, with at least one match where I. Marrero Curbelo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving I. Marrero Curbelo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.17Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Vandecasteele
Stat
Curbelo
16.7%
Win rate
17.1%
1–5
W–L
7–34

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults6
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults6