E. Coulibaly has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Coulibaly vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.

I. Mzai comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 2.