MiamiHardATP 1/16-finals22 Mar 2026 · 21:10
T. Paul
#23 · USA
VS
R. Collignon
#72 · Belgium
PAUL
1.403
·
COLLIGNON
3.21

Odds

Market
Paul
Collignon
Winner
1.403
3.21
Total
line 23.0
2
Over 23.0
1.855
Under 23.0
Total
line 23.5
2.06
Over 23.5
1.66
Under 23.5
Handicap
games
1.84
-3.0 games
2.04
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.63
-2.5 games
2.2
+2.5 games

Player analysis

T. Paul has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.5 to 27.1, with at least one match where T. Paul was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.36Trend mixed

R. Collignon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.1 to 11.4, with at least one match where R. Collignon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Collignon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Collignon has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS 0.9Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Paul
Stat
Collignon
62.2%
Win rate
60.5%
248–151
W–L
92–60

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved30%
Aces7
Double faults5