Odds
Player analysis
R. Collignon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.1 to 13.4, with at least one match where R. Collignon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving R. Collignon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.
A. Davidovich Fokina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.7, meaning A. Davidovich Fokina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Davidovich Fokina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 25 May | Vukic | 6-3 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 20 May | Ruud | 6-7 2-6 | L |
| 19 May | Mannarino | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 17 May | Cerundolo | 5-7 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 16 May | Griekspoor | 7-5 6-1 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 27 May | Tirante | 6-4 6-7 1-6 3-6 | L |
| 24 May | Dzumhur | 6-7 6-3 2-6 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 20 May | Minaur | 2-6 6-4 4-6 | L |
| 18 May | Moutet | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 11 May | Rublev | 6-4 6-4 | L |

