M. Cilic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning M. Cilic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Cilic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 43. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.