J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-22 opposition. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

F. Cerundolo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.8 to 27.8, with at least one match where F. Cerundolo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Cerundolo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Cerundolo has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.