ProstejovClay1/16-finals2 Jun 2026 · 17:25
M. Karol
ATP #433Slovakia
VS
C. A. Caniato
ATP #359Italy
KAROL
2.36
·
CANIATO
1.637

Odds

Market
Karol
Caniato
Winner
2.36
1.637
Total
line 22.5
1.9
Over 22.5
1.82
Under 22.5
Total
line 22.0
1.775
Over 22.0
2.09
Under 22.0
Handicap
games
1.78
+2.5 games
1.94
-2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.99
+2.0 games
1.847
-2 games

Player analysis

M. Karol has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.6 to 12.4, with at least one match where M. Karol was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 2.63Trend mixed

C. A. Caniato comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.2, meaning C. A. Caniato has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. A. Caniato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. A. Caniato has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS -3.16Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Karol
Stat
Caniato
45.8%
Win rate
55.3%
54–64
W–L
47–38

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces11
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
KarolCaniato

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #433Karol vs CaniatoATP #359

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Karol 46% (5464) · Caniato 55% (4738)

Last match at Prostejov

W1 Jun 2026 · Final
vs M. Gengel · 6-4 3-6 3-6
1st serve65%1st won80.4%Aces21BP conv33.3%
W1 Jun 2026 · Final
vs A. Ayeni · 7-6 6-3
1st serve49%1st won88.9%Aces1BP conv66.7%

Quick comparison

KarolStatCaniato
46%Clay W%55%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
80%1st serve won (L5)70%
50%BP conv (L5)30%
11Aces (L5 avg)4