Odds
Player analysis
A. Tabilo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.4 to 30.2, with at least one match where A. Tabilo was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Tabilo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Tabilo has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.
A. Bublik comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.6, meaning A. Bublik has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Bublik vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Mar | Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 6 Mar | Jodar | 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 28 Feb | Baez | 6-7 1-6 | L |
| 27 Feb | Tirante | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 25 Feb | Vera | 7-5 6-3 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Hijikata | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Kopriva | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 25 Feb | Griekspoor | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Struff | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 14 Feb | Auger-Aliassime | 1-6 2-6 | L |

