Odds
Player analysis
A. Bublik comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.6, meaning A. Bublik has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Bublik vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
T. Machac has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Hijikata | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Kopriva | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 25 Feb | Griekspoor | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Struff | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 14 Feb | Auger-Aliassime | 1-6 2-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 16 Feb | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 24 Jan | Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Tsitsipas | 6-4 3-6 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 20 Jan | Dimitrov | 4-6 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 17 Jan | Humbert | 4-6 7-6 2-6 | W |