Odds
Player analysis
J. Lehecka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 17.8, with at least one match where J. Lehecka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Lehecka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Lehecka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.
A. Bublik comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.6, meaning A. Bublik has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Bublik vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Bublik has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 8 Apr | Tabilo | 4-6 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 6 Apr | Nava | 7-6 6-7 6-2 | W |
| 29 Mar | Sinner | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 27 Mar | Fils | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 25 Mar | Landaluce | 6-7 5-7 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Apr | Monfils | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Berrettini | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Hijikata | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Kopriva | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 25 Feb | Griekspoor | 6-3 7-6 | L |

