J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is unknown. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +9.5 (range: -6.7 to 21.6). Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

K. Boulter comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.9 to 16.9, with at least one match where K. Boulter was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving K. Boulter vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Boulter has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.