R. Matsuda comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.8, meaning R. Matsuda has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. Matsuda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Matsuda has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -29 over recent matches.

J. Boulais shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 443. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.6 to 21.2, with at least one match where J. Boulais was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+35) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.