Odds
Player analysis
E. Spizzirri has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Spizzirri has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -29 over recent matches.
N. Borges comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning N. Borges has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving N. Borges vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Borges has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Feb | Jones | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 11 Feb | Duckworth | 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Jan | Sinner | 6-4 3-6 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 22 Jan | Wu | 6-2 6-4 6-7 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 20 Jan | Fonseca | 4-6 6-2 1-6 2-6 | W |
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auckland | Hard | 1/8-finals | Spizzirri | 6-7 4-6 | |
| Athens | Indoor | 1/8-finals | Borges | 7-5 3-6 4-6 |

