MiamiHardATP Semi-finals16 Mar 2026 · 23:35
G. Miguel
#1188 · Brazil
VS
B. Bonzi
#103 · France
MIGUEL
13.46
·
BONZI
1.048

Odds

Market
Miguel
Bonzi
Winner
13.46
1.048
Total
line 20.5
2.26
Over 20.5
1.59
Under 20.5
Total
line 18.5
1.56
Over 18.5
2.34
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
1.8
+5.5 games
2.05
-5.5 games
Handicap
games
1.44
+6.5 games
2.84
-6.5 games

Player analysis

G. Miguel comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning G. Miguel has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving G. Miguel vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Miguel has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -2.56Trend down

B. Bonzi has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 5.95Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLL

1W 4L last 5

5 MarAcosta6-4 6-3L
4 MarFicovich7-6 7-5W
18 FebGaubas3-6 6-2 2-6L
30 JanSeskoL
23 OctCollarini7-6 5-7 2-6 Ret.L
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

13 MarQuinn7-6 7-6L
12 MarRiedi6-3 6-3W
10 MarBolt3-6 6-3 7-6W
7 MarCerundolo6-4 5-7 7-6L
6 MarRoyer4-6 3-6W

Hard court stats

Miguel
Stat
Bonzi
58.8%
Win rate
59.6%
10–7
W–L
187–127

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults1