M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.4 to 13.5, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Keys has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

H. Baptiste comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.2 to 7.0, with at least one match where H. Baptiste was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Baptiste has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.