JinanHard1/16-finals14 Oct 2025 · 08:10
P. M. Nugroho
#426 · Indonesia
VS
Z. Bai
#371 · China

Odds

Market
Nugroho
Bai
Winner

Player analysis

P. M. Nugroho comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.7, meaning P. M. Nugroho has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.1/10, leaving P. M. Nugroho vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. M. Nugroho has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS -11.65Trend mixed

Z. Bai shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 114. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.4 to 22.0, with at least one match where Z. Bai was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving Z. Bai vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

DS 3.05Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLLWL

1W 4L last 5

3 FebProzorova2-6 1-6L
29 OctYamalapalli6-4 6-2L
26 OctHartono6-2 6-1L
25 OctYashina3-6 2-6W
17 OctBondar4-6 0-6L
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

21 JanSabalenka6-3 6-1L
18 JanPavlyuchenkova4-6 6-2 6-7W
15 JanVidmanova4-6 6-4 6-1W
14 JanPaquet1-6 2-6W
13 JanKorneeva6-4 6-3W

Hard court stats

Nugroho
Stat
Bai
63.5%
Win rate
74.3%
122–70
W–L
113–39

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults2