ATP Indian WellsHard1/16-finals10 Mar 2026 · 04:30
D. Medvedev
#10 · Russia
VS
S. Baez
#52 · Argentina
MEDVEDEV
1.16
·
BAEZ
6.28

Odds

Market
Medvedev
Baez
Winner
1.16
6.28
Total
line 16.5
1.12
Over 16.5
4.75
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.14
Over 17.0
4.3
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
8.4
-8.5 games
1.04
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
7.8
-8.0 games
1.06
+8 games

Player analysis

D. Medvedev comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 24 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.7 to 19.3, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+48) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 10.74Trend mixed

S. Baez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 6.59Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

15 MarSinner6-7 6-7L
14 MarAlcaraz3-6 6-7W
13 MarDraper1-6 5-7W
11 MarMichelsen6-2 6-4W
10 MarBaez6-4 6-0W
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 MarMedvedev6-4 6-0L
8 MarLehecka6-4 6-1W
5 MarTseng3-6 2-6W
28 FebDarderi4-6 3-6L
28 FebTabilo6-7 1-6W

Hard court stats

Medvedev
Stat
Baez
72.6%
Win rate
42.7%
378–143
W–L
47–63

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved90%
Aces7
Double faults1
BP converted60%
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces0
Double faults2