ConcepcionClay1/16-finals27 Jan 2026 · 20:50
J. P. Varillas
#290 · Peru
VS
F. Meligeni Alves
#240 · Brazil
VARILLAS
1.51
·
ALVES
2.69

Odds

Market
Varillas
Alves
Winner
1.51
2.69
Total
line 18.5
1.3
Over 18.5
3.49
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.53
Over 19.5
2.35
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
3.34
-6.5 games
1.27
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
3.04
-6.0 games
1.32
+6 games

Player analysis

J. P. Varillas comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.3 to 33.3, with at least one match where J. P. Varillas was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. P. Varillas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. P. Varillas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS 4.71Trend mixed

F. Meligeni Alves comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.2, meaning F. Meligeni Alves has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving F. Meligeni Alves vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -8.18Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWLW

2W 3L last 5

9 MarBueno0-6 5-7L
5 MarDias2-6 6-7L
3 MarTorrealba2-6 1-6W
27 FebDedura6-4 7-6L
24 FebMidon6-4 6-1W
Recent form bar chartLWLLL

1W 4L last 5

12 MarVallejo6-4 3-6 6-3L
10 MarTorrealba5-7 6-1 6-3W
3 MarSchiessl6-7 6-7L
7 FebMidon6-2 6-2L
3 FebOlivieri3-6 1-6L

Clay court stats

Varillas
Stat
Alves
59.1%
Win rate
57.6%
238–165
W–L
182–134

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved30%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1