Odds
Player analysis
M. Alkaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.8, meaning M. Alkaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Alkaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
D. Yevseyev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.7 to 11.7, with at least one match where D. Yevseyev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving D. Yevseyev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Yevseyev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 2 Mar | Kirkin | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 22 Feb | Visker | 4-6 6-3 6-7 | L |
| 14 Feb | Halys | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 6 Feb | Dominko | 5-7 6-7 | W |
| 27 Jan | Butvilas | 6-4 1-6 7-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 16 Mar | Pieczonka | 6-7 6-0 3-6 | L |
| 15 Mar | Hernandez | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 17 Feb | Binda | 6-7 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 16 Feb | Donski | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 15 Feb | M. | 6-4 6-7 6-4 | W |

