M. Alkaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.8, meaning M. Alkaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving M. Alkaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.

E. Kirkin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +8.7 (range: -9.5 to 28.3). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Kirkin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Kirkin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.