Odds
Player analysis
L. Noskova shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 36. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.8 to 36.6, with at least one match where L. Noskova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving L. Noskova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.2, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 14 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 12 Mar | Gibson | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | W |
| 11 Mar | Eala | 2-6 0-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Cirstea | 7-6 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Maneiro | 3-6 3-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 6 Mar | Gibson | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 17 Feb | Linette | 2-6 6-4 1-6 | L |
| 10 Feb | Ostapenko | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 7 Feb | Bejlek | 7-6 6-1 | L |
| 6 Feb | Baptiste | 6-3 6-7 3-6 | W |

