A. Aksu has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +13.4, trending upward over the last three matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Aksu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

E. Ovcharenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.9, meaning E. Ovcharenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving E. Ovcharenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Ovcharenko has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.