Odds
Player analysis
Y. Uchiyama has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.2 to 11.0, with at least one match where Y. Uchiyama was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving Y. Uchiyama vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
M. Vrbensky comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.8, meaning M. Vrbensky has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Vrbensky vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Vrbensky has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Feb | Zhang | 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 10 Feb | Hewitt | 5-7 5-7 | W |
| 7 Feb | Sweeny | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 6 Feb | Bolt | 2-6 7-6 2-6 | W |
| 4 Feb | Marinkov | 4-6 6-3 1-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 16 Mar | Negritu | 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 15 Mar | Paulson | 4-6 7-5 6-7 | W |
| 22 Feb | Lokoli | 7-6 3-6 0-6 | L |
| 16 Feb | Dodig | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 15 Feb | Bertrand | 6-4 6-3 | W |

