NoumeaHard1/8-finals7 Jan 2026 · 06:55
J. Watt
#663 · New Zealand
VS
B. Tomic
#187 · Australia
WATT
4.57
·
TOMIC
1.23

Odds

Market
Watt
Tomic
Winner
4.57
1.23

Player analysis

J. Watt has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving J. Watt vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Watt has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS 5.69Trend up

B. Tomic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.0, meaning B. Tomic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS -0.02Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWLLWW

3W 2L last 5

8 FebNedic6-3 7-6W
7 FebBasic2-6 6-7L
12 JanBrooksby6-4 6-3L
6 JanVithoontien6-7 1-6W
5 JanNakagawa6-3 6-4W
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

20 FebGojo6-3 4-6 6-4L
18 FebBrouwer6-4 3-6 2-6W
16 FebFierros6-7 3-6W
8 FebShimabukuro6-3 6-3L
7 FebArora3-6 2-6W

Hard court stats

Watt
Stat
Tomic
43.5%
Win rate
58.8%
30–39
W–L
328–230

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults0