Odds
Player analysis
T. Skatov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.3, meaning T. Skatov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving T. Skatov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
S. Travaglia comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.1 to 25.0, with at least one match where S. Travaglia was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Travaglia vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Travaglia has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 28 Apr | Droguet | 2-6 1-6 | L |
| 25 Apr | Fomin | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 24 Apr | Ghibaudo | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 23 Apr | Ostapenkov | 6-7 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 22 Apr | Gulin | 6-2 3-6 6-4 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 28 Apr | Jong | 7-6 3-6 1-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Basilashvili | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 10 Apr | Bellucci | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 8 Apr | Brancaccio | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 6 Apr | Gaubas | 6-7 5-7 | W |

