Odds
Player analysis
F. Sun comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.0, meaning F. Sun has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Sun vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Y. Shimizu comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.8, meaning Y. Shimizu has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving Y. Shimizu vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Shimizu has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 10 Feb | Ellis | 7-6 3-6 7-5 | L |
| 5 Feb | Ellis | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 3 Feb | Sanchis | 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 27 Jan | Bax | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 20 Jan | Biryukov | 6-4 6-3 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 25 Feb | Cina | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Feb | Carboni | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 4 Feb | Bolt | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 2 Feb | Tokuda | 7-6 1-6 6-4 | W |
| 13 Jan | Michalski | 2-6 6-2 3-6 | L |

