MiamiHardWTA Final17 Mar 2026 · 16:05
R. Zarazua
#87 · Mexico
VS
A. Sasnovich
#109 · Belarus
ZARAZUA
2.89
·
SASNOVICH
1.43

Odds

Market
Zarazua
Sasnovich
Winner
2.89
1.43
Total
line 18.0
1.27
Over 18.0
3.14
Under 18.0
Total
line 18.5
1.39
Over 18.5
2.59
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
2.21
-2.0 games
1.67
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.16
-2.5 games
1.6
+2.5 games

Player analysis

R. Zarazua has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -37.0 to 42.1, with at least one match where R. Zarazua was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving R. Zarazua vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Zarazua has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS 0.97Trend mixed

A. Sasnovich comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.6 with a downward trend. A. Sasnovich is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving A. Sasnovich vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+25) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 4.62Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Zarazua
Stat
Sasnovich
53.3%
Win rate
57.2%
121–106
W–L
234–175

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces0
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults4