US OpenHardQuarter-finals3 Sep 2025 · 01:00
A. Sabalenka
Belarus
VS
M. Vondrousova
Czech Republic
SABALENKA
1.36
·
VONDROUSOVA
3.45

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Vondrousova
Winner
1.36
3.45

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.57Trend up

M. Vondrousova has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.7 to 12.3, with at least one match where M. Vondrousova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Vondrousova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.46Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWWWL

4W 1L last 5

13 JanSamsonova1-6 6-4 2-6W
5 JanVondrousova5-7 7-6 6-7W
14 OctVondrousova4-6 3-6 Ret.W
1 SepRybakina4-6 7-5 2-6 Ret.W
29 AugVondrousova7-6 6-1 Ret.L
Recent form bar chartLLLLL

0W 5L last 5

15 MarSabalenka3-6 6-3 7-6L
14 MarSabalenka6-3 6-4L
12 MarSabalenka7-6 6-4L
10 MarSabalenka6-2 6-4L
8 MarSabalenka6-4 6-1L

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Vondrousova
72.8%
Win rate
63.6%
302–113
W–L
124–71

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces8
Double faults6

Head to head

33
Hard 30
Clay 02
Indoor 01
A. Sabalenka vs M. Vondrousova head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
CincinnatiHard1/32-finalsSabalenka7-5 6-1
BerlinClaySemi-finalsVondrousova2-6 4-6
WTA StuttgartClayQuarter-finalsVondrousova3-6 6-3 7-5
AdelaideHardQuarter-finalsSabalenka3-6 5-7
Australian OpenHard1/16-finalsSabalenka6-4 3-6 1-6
BielIndoorSemi-finalsVondrousova6-2 2-6 1-6