MiamiHard1/16-finals22 Mar 2025 · 18:45
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
G. Ruse
#73 · Romania

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Ruse
Winner

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-9 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.6 (range: -2.0 to 22.9). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 10.57Trend up

G. Ruse comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.0, meaning G. Ruse has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving G. Ruse vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.04Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWWWW

5W 0L last 5

15 MarRybakina3-6 6-3 7-6W
14 MarNoskova6-3 6-4W
12 MarMboko7-6 6-4W
10 MarOsaka6-2 6-4W
8 MarCristian6-4 6-1W
Recent form bar chartLLLWW

2W 3L last 5

10 MarBadosa2-6 6-2 7-5L
4 MarTomljanovic7-5 6-2L
16 FebNavarro4-6 5-7L
14 FebStearns2-6 6-4 4-6W
13 FebStarodubtseva2-6 7-6 1-6W

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Ruse
72.8%
Win rate
58.9%
302–113
W–L
106–74

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults7