RomeClay1/16-finals10 May 2025 · 18:50
J. Ostapenko
#24 · Latvia
VS
L. Siegemund
#53 · Germany

Odds

Market
Ostapenko
Siegemund
Winner

Player analysis

J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning J. Ostapenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS -2.22Trend mixed

L. Siegemund comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.1, meaning L. Siegemund has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Siegemund vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Siegemund has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS -4.12Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

9 MarPegula4-6 6-3 6-2L
7 MarVolynets4-6 6-7W
16 FebKalinskaya6-2 1-6 4-6L
13 FebMboko3-6 2-6L
12 FebCocciaretto7-5 6-4W
Recent form bar chartLWLLL

1W 4L last 5

8 MarSvitolina6-7 6-4 3-6L
5 MarMarcinko3-6 6-3 6-4W
16 FebKasatkina2-6 3-6L
8 FebGracheva6-7 4-6L
22 JanInglis6-4 6-7 7-6L

Clay court stats

Ostapenko
Stat
Siegemund
61.2%
Win rate
66.7%
79–50
W–L
176–88

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted70%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults3