MatsuyamaHard1/8-finals6 Nov 2025 · 04:20
S. Nakagawa
#902 · Japan
VS
R. Peniston
#262 · United Kingdom

Odds

Market
Nakagawa
Peniston
Winner

Player analysis

S. Nakagawa comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.2, meaning S. Nakagawa has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Nakagawa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Nakagawa has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -2.22Trend down

R. Peniston comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.6, meaning R. Peniston has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving R. Peniston vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Peniston has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -9.64Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWLL

1W 4L last 5

2 MarKumasaka6-7 3-6L
5 JanWatt6-3 6-4L
4 JanBoivin3-6 0-6W
16 NovLoof6-7 6-2 6-4L
6 NovPeniston2-6 7-6 3-6L
Recent form bar chartLLLLL

0W 5L last 5

10 FebBarton7-6 4-6 6-3L
27 JanWong6-3 6-2L
20 JanChung6-4 6-4L
13 JanBurruchaga6-1 6-1L
5 JanBouzige6-4 6-7 4-6L

Hard court stats

Nakagawa
Stat
Peniston
47.3%
Win rate
60.6%
26–29
W–L
214–139

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults5