Odds
Player analysis
A. Muller comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.0, meaning A. Muller has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Muller vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Muller has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 7 Feb | Molcan | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Jan | Zverev | 6-3 4-6 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 19 Jan | Popyrin | 6-2 3-6 6-3 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 13 Jan | Giron | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 8 Jan | Giron | 4-6 6-7 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Mar | Fucsovics | 5-7 1-6 | L |
| 26 Jan | Fritz | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 24 Jan | Machac | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | W |
| 22 Jan | Sonego | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 11 Jan | Bublik | 6-7 3-6 | L |