Odds
Player analysis
V. Royer comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning V. Royer has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving V. Royer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — V. Royer has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
C. Moutet has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.0, meaning C. Moutet has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 20 Mar | Tirante | 5-7 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 13 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 13 Mar | Navone | 6-2 7-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Bonzi | 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Rublev | 6-3 6-4 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Mar | Sinner | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Machac | 6-0 1-6 6-4 | W |
| 15 Mar | Giron | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 14 Mar | Basilashvili | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 13 Mar | Halys | 6-4 6-4 | W |

