MatsuyamaHard1/16-finals4 Nov 2025 · 07:40
S. Shimabukuro
#110 · Japan
VS
Y. Mochizuki
#556 · Japan

Odds

Market
Shimabukuro
Mochizuki
Winner

Player analysis

S. Shimabukuro has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.1 to 10.7, with at least one match where S. Shimabukuro was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving S. Shimabukuro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.02Trend mixed

Y. Mochizuki has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.9, meaning Y. Mochizuki has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving Y. Mochizuki vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Mochizuki has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS -5.91Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

5 MarShevchenko6-4 3-6 6-2L
3 MarLandaluce2-6 7-6 5-7W
2 MarSmith6-7 5-7W
26 FebWu6-3 7-6L
25 FebMannarino3-6 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

10 FebSakamoto6-0 6-1L
9 FebHulme5-7 7-5 7-5W
8 FebWalkin3-6 7-5 6-1W
2 FebHazawa1-6 4-6L
1 FebCook6-2 6-3W

Hard court stats

Shimabukuro
Stat
Mochizuki
58.8%
Win rate
54.5%
163–114
W–L
103–86

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults3