ManilaHard1/16-finals27 Jan 2026 · 11:15
Y. Ma
#178 · China
VS
D. Semenistaja
#103 · Latvia

Odds

Market
Ma
Semenistaja
Winner

Player analysis

Y. Ma comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.5, meaning Y. Ma has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving Y. Ma vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Ma has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -4.52Trend mixed

D. Semenistaja has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -33.3 to 29.7, with at least one match where D. Semenistaja was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving D. Semenistaja vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Semenistaja has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS 1.5Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

28 JanCostoulas6-2 6-4L
27 JanSemenistaja6-1 7-6W
14 JanKalieva6-4 6-2L
13 JanLepchenko6-1 6-3W
27 OctBucsa6-1 6-2L
Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

3 MarDay2-6 1-6L
2 MarOsuigwe2-6 6-1 6-3W
6 FebTagger4-6 6-4 6-2L
4 FebHontama4-6 6-7W
3 FebCherubini3-6 1-6W

Hard court stats

Ma
Stat
Semenistaja
55.1%
Win rate
60.4%
145–118
W–L
84–55

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults1